Watch your mailbox — your postal mailbox, that is

In a few days, we will send a letter to each Potomac Bay Estates property owner — that’s right — a letter, not an email, but a real, sure-enough letter delivered by the US Postal Service.
In that letter you will find three items:
  1. A notice that dues and community water fee are due on March 31.  The community water fee is due only for those properties that are connected to the water system.
  2. A roster verification form.  We maintain a roster of all property owners with name(s), address(es), lot number, phone number(s) and email address.  We are asking that each person review their roster information and return the roster verification form with any changes, or, with a verification that current information is correct.
  3. A stamped return envelope for your use in returning your dues and water fee check along with your roster verification form.
Please watch for this letter and return your check and roster verification from quickly.
Thank you.

Winter weather advisory

The following winter weather advisory has been issued for our neighborhood.

 

  • Issuing Office: Wakefield

    Source: National.Weather.Service

    9:44pm EST, Tue Jan 16

 

… WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY… * WHAT… SNOW EXPECTED. PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS, INCLUDING DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE ON WEDNESDAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO THREE INCHES ARE EXPECTED. * WHERE… PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL, EASTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA. * WHEN… FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS… BE PREPARED FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS… A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES, AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS IN VIRGINIA OR MARYLAND, PLEASE CALL 5 1 1.

Our current weather forecast calls for snow showers between 7:00 and 11:00 AM, Wednesday, January 17.  Up to one inch accumulation expected.
Drive carefully!!!

Bitterly cold Sunday night and morning

This special weather advisory for our area was posted by the National Weather Service.

…Bitterly cold temperatures along with hazardous travel
conditions overnight…(the night of Jan 6-7, Saturday and Sunday)

Arctic high pressure will move over the area overnight. The
combination of a clear sky, light winds and the snow cover will
allow for maximum cooling with many areas breaking their record
lows. Temperatures by sunrise Sunday will range between two
degrees above zero to eight degrees below zero.

In addition, any melting of the snow that took place today will
refreeze. Many secondary roads across central and eastern Virginia
as well as northeast North Carolina will again be ice or snow
covered resulting in hazardous travel overnight into Sunday
morning. Motorists are urged to use caution while driving, keeping
plenty of distance between you and other motorists.

Temperatures will moderate somewhat beginning Monday, Jan 8.  Forecast temperatures are:

  • Sunday night, Jan 7:  16 deg
  • Monday, Jan 8:  High 41; low 32
  • Tuesday, Jan 9:  High 45; low 24

 

Two special weather advisories

Snow ended late this afternoon, Thursday, Jan 4, as skies cleared.

Travel on Highway 360 is clear, however, please drive carefully, watch for icy spots, leave yourself plenty of stopping distance.

HOWEVER — travel into our neighborhood on Newman’s Neck Road is difficult.  Between Hwy 360 and our neighborhood on Newman’s Neck Road are several vehicles in the ditches.  The road is obstructed with very deep snow drifts.  The wooded area from Critter Corner to our neighborhood entrance is all but blocked by snow drifts.  A snowplow came through around 6:30 PM, Jan 4, however, the plow opened only a single traffic lane.

VDOT should begin a major clearing effort tonight, Jan 4-5.

The National Weather Service as issued two weather advisories for our area.

Wind Chill Advisory

…WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY…
…WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED…

* WHAT…Very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills will drop to
zero to 5 below.

* WHERE…Portions of east central, eastern and southeast
Virginia.

* WHEN…From 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS…Winds gusting as high as 20 to 30 mph will
cause blowing and drifting snow. Cold wind chills overnight
will cause frostbite in as little as 30 minutes to exposed skin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will
combine to create low wind chills. Frost bite and hypothermia can
occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and
gloves.

Special Weather Statement:  Hazardous Travel Conditions

…Hazardous travel conditions expected tonight and Friday…

Very cold air will settle over the area tonight and continue
through Friday. Any melting of the snow that took place Thursday
afternoon will refreeze. Many roads across central and eastern
Virginia, northeast North Carolina and lower southeast Maryland
will be ice or snow covered resulting in hazardous travel. Minimal
melting is expected during the day Friday as temperatures will
remain below freezing. Motorists are urged to use caution while
driving, keeping plenty of distance between you and other
motorists.

Winter storm has arrived!!!!!

The predicted winter storm arrived in our neighborhood just before 10:00 PM, January 3 and as of 7:30 AM, January 4, winds are from the NW at 15 – 20 MPH with gusts as high as 35 MPH.

Snow started just before 10:00 PM, Jan 3, and continues as of 7:30 AM, Jan 4.  Because of the wind, accumulation is difficult to report.  In some places, the road and grassy areas are free of snow, in other places, drifts are one foot deep.

Current temperature (7:30 AM, Jan 4) is 23 degrees with wind chill of 9 – 11 degrees.

Check our neighborhood weather station for details.

Here are photos taken from a window facing the Potomac River; Thursday, Jan 4, 7:30 AM.  Snow is still falling.

 

 

WINTER STORM WARNING — Wednesday through Friday, Jan 3-5, 2018 — UPDATE

A SEVERE winter storm is on the way that will affect us beginning Wednesday night and continuing through Thursday, possibly into Friday.

***************

UPDATE:

As of 11:00 PM, Wednesday, Jan 3, snow started about 45 minutes ago; the ground is now covered.

UPDATE:

As of 2:30 PM, Wednesday, Jan 3, the forecasts for Wednesday night and Thursday are:

Wednesday night.  Snow likely. Low 23F. Winds N at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of snow 100%. 3 to 5 inches of snow expected.  Snow anticipated to start between 9 and 10 PM.

Thursday daytime.  Windy. Snow during the morning will give way to partly cloudy conditions during the afternoon. High 29F. Winds NW at 20 to 30 mph. Chance of snow 80%. Snow accumulations less than one inch. Winds could occasionally gust over 40 mph.

Forecast low temperatures for Thursday, Friday, and Saturday nights are 9, 7, and  6 degrees, with winds 10 – 15 MPH.

UPDATE:

As of 7:00 AM, Wednesday, Jan 3, our weather forecast for Wednesday evening is:

Snow likely. Low 24F. Winds N at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of snow 90%. Snow accumulating 3 to 5 inches.

The forecast for Thursday, Jan 4:  Snow showers early. Peeks of sunshine later. High 29F. Winds NW at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of snow 80%. Snow accumulations less than one inch. Winds could occasionally gust over 40 mph.

Forecast low temperatures for Thursday, Friday, and Saturday nights are 9, 7, and  6 degrees, with winds 10 – 15 MPH.

***************

This storm is being caused by the conjunction of a blast of very cold air coming from the northwest with a large area of warm, moist air moving up the coast.

Predictions for our neighborhood are for 1 to 3 inches of snow starting Wednesday night, ending Thursday noon, accompanied by high winds and very cold temperatures.

From Norfolk to the Maryland and Delaware beaches, including much of the southern half of the Delmarva Peninsula, 3 to 6 inches of heavy snow are predicted from Wednesday evening to Thursday afternoon.

Farther inland in the Mid-Atlantic, near Interstate 95, the storm’s exact track will be highly consequential. Current computer models suggest most, if not all, snowfall will occur east of Washington and Baltimore on Wednesday night into early Thursday. But small shifts to the west could bring some snow to these cities.

Because of the low pressure area off the coast and the high pressure area moving in from the NW, the National Weather Service is warning of possibly very high, damaging winds.  Our wind gusts are likely to exceed 30 MPH.

This article provides a detailed discussion and description of the coming storm.

UPDATE:

The latest forecast for Wednesday night, Jan 3, from The Weather Channel:

Cloudy with snow. Low 24F. Winds N at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of snow 80%. 1 to 3 inches of snow expected.

Forecast for Thursday, Jan 4 — note the high winds:

Windy with snow showers before noon. Partly cloudy later. High 29F. Winds NW at 20 to 30 mph. Chance of snow 50%. Snow accumulations less than one inch. Winds could occasionally gust over 40 mph.

Winter Storm Watch issued for our area.

 

Issuing Office: Wakefield

Source: National.Weather.Service

9:44pm EST, Tue Jan 2

 

… WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON… * WHAT… HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE. PLAN ON DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS, INCLUDING DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE ON THURSDAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. * WHERE… PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MARYLAND AND EASTERN VIRGINIA. * WHEN… FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS… SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY ARE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS… A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW, SLEET OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.