Hurricane Florence may — and we stress “may” — threaten US East Coast — we will monitor

As of Wednesday evening, September 5, Hurricane Florence is located in the Atlantic and likely will make landfall on Bermuda.  Some projections show Florence making landfall in our area late next week (Sep 10 – 14 or later).  Here are maps and satellite photos.

This satellite photo shows Florence as of 7:42 PM EDST,  September 5.  Note also another tropical depression has formed off the coast of Africa with 70% chance of developing into a tropical storm within 48 hours.


This graphic from the National Hurricane Center projects that Florence will grow into a major hurricane by Thursday, September 6, and will be in the vicinity of Bermuda by Monday afternoon, September 10.  Major hurricanes are defined as those with sustained winds over 110 MPH.

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This graphic from WeatherModels.com plots several possible tracks for Florence.     Note that several of these possible tracks indicate Florence could make landfall on the US East Coast somewhere between north Florida/south Georgia and the Chesapeake Bay.  Other tracks project Florence avoiding the East Coast and turning sharply northeast into the North Atlantic.

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We will monitor Hurricane Florence and will post updated information over the next few days.
Here is a link to the National Hurricane Center where you can monitor Florence as well as other tropical storms or hurricanes.

UPDATE:  Thursday, Sep 6, 11:00 PM

Hurricane Florence has weakened somewhat, however, the storm is expected to strengthen and regain strength over the weekend.  The point at which Florence will make landfall on the US East Coast is still not clear — in fact, it’s not clear if Florence will hit the East Coast. Florence’s path will become more clear in the next few days.  Meanwhile —

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This graphic from the National Hurricane Center shows Florence weakening to tropical storm status Thursday and Friday, then strengthening to hurricane force, becoming a major hurricane by Tuesday night, Sep 11.


Here are spaghetti models for Florence’s future track.

Florence Spaghetti Models

This spaghetti model accompanies a Newsweek article on Florence.

We will monitor Hurricane Florence and will post updated information over the next few days.
Here is a link to the National Hurricane Center where you can monitor Florence as well as other tropical storms or hurricanes.