WEATHER WARNING: Slight risk of high winds, high water, Friday, April 19

The National Weather Service office in Wakefield VA has released a severe weather alert that only slightly affects our neighborhood on Friday, April 19 into the early hours of Saturday, April 20.

We recommend taking the following precautions:

  • Make certain your boat is secured
  • Tie down or remove furniture, grills, or anything on your deck or in your lawn that can be blown around.
  • Close and lock windows and doors.
  • Be prepared to lose electrical power.

The Accuweather forecast  for our neighborhood calls for possible severe thunderstorms and high wind gusts Friday and Friday night.

Here is the full NWS statement:

Good morning. The following is briefing #2 for the Potential Severe Weather and Heavy Rainfall  for April 19 2019 as of 830am 4/18/2019. See the attached images for details. The next briefing will be by 4 pm April 18 2019 or sooner if conditions change. There are currently no major changes to this forecast update from yesterday. Note the more detailed timing below. 

Threats: There is an enhanced risk for severe weather for much of south and southeast Virginia and northeast North Carolina on Friday. Surrounding the enhanced risk is a slight risk for severe weather for the rest of the states of Virginia and North Carolina, and the Maryland Eastern Shore. As low pressure moves up the Appalachians, conditions will become increasingly favorable for severe thunderstorm development across the entire region especially Friday afternoon into Friday night. This includes the potential for damaging winds, large hail and a few tornadoes.  In addition, there is a slight risk for excessive rainfall on Friday across much of the region. This means that flash flooding is possible due to heavy rainfall from thunderstorms. Lastly, marine interests should be prepared for possible southerly gale force gusts in excess of 35-40 kt later Friday afternoon into Friday night, especially across the lower Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Coastal Waters. See attached graphics for more details.

Location: All of central and southeast Virginia, the Virginia and Maryland eastern shore and northeast North Carolina. This includes the Chesapeake Bay and Atlantic Coastal Waters. Nearly the entire area is under a slight risk for excessive rainfall. 

Timing: There will be an initial round of  scattered thunderstorms across the entire region starting late Friday morning and continuing into Friday afternoon. There is a potential for these storms to be strong to severe with wind gusts to 60 mph and large hail. Then, a more organized area of thunderstorms will move through the region late Friday afternoon into Friday night. This area of storms will bring the risk of wind gusts greater than 60 mph, large hail, and even a few tornadoes. 

Overview and Impacts:

·  The environment currently looks favorable for a few tornadoes late Friday afternoon into Friday night, especially across southeast Virginia and Northeast North Carolina. People should consider their tornado action plans and what they would do if a tornado warning is issued for your area. 

·  Severe storms could result in areas of 60-80 mph wind gusts Friday into Friday night. This may lead to downed trees and power outages. Large hail is also possible. 

·  Rain will be heavy at times, allowing for the potential for flash flooding. If you live in a flood prone area, have an action plan ready in case flood or flash flood warnings are issued.

·  Marine interests should be prepared for gale force wind conditions later Friday afternoon into Friday Night as the low approaches.

·  Details will become better refined as the event comes closer. However, everyone should think about their severe weather safety plans now so they can quickly act if severe weather approaches your location Friday.

Here are the maps accompanying the announcement.  NOTE THAT WE ARE IN THE MARGINAL to SLIGHT RISK AREA.

Our neighborhood is in MARGINAL RISK area for high water.
We are in SLIGHT RISK area for severe weather with scattered severe storms possible.
According to this map, we can expect high winds with gusts in the 28 – 39 MPH range Friday afternoon and Friday night.