Possible severe weather, heavy rain: Wed, Feb 5 through Sat, Feb 8.

The National Weather Service in Wakefield, VA, has issued a severe weather warning that touches on our neighborhood.  While our neighborhood is in the “marginal threat” area, the severe weather can change course at any time over the next three days.

Threats: Periods of moderate to heavy rain could cause flooding Thursday-Thursday night as low pressure and an associated cold front cross the region. In addition, a few strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across south central VA late Thursday afternoon, eventually spreading east to SE VA/NE NC Thursday evening-Thursday night. The Storm Prediction Center has put SE VA/NE NC in a Slight Risk for severe weather, surrounded by a Marginal Risk for the remainder of the area.

Location: There is a threat of flooding across the entire area. The greatest threat for severe weather is over SE VA/NE NC.

Timing: Thursday-Thursday night for heavy rain/flooding. Thursday evening-Thursday night for potential strong to severe thunderstorms.

Overview and Impacts:

·  A widespread 1.5-3.5″ of rain is expected to fall across the area from Thursday through Thursday night.

·  Excessive rain will result in minor flooding of creeks and streams, as well as urban/poor drainage areas. A few instances of flash flooding possible.

·  There is a slight risk of severe weather across south central VA…SE VA/NE NC from Thursday evening-Thursday night.

·  The main severe threat will be damaging wind gusts, which could down trees and power lines, resulting in scattered power outages.

Details of the warning including maps can be found at this link.


According to the maps in the detailed warning:

  • Warning is in effect from 7:00 AM EST Wednesday, FEb 5, until 7:00 AM, Saturday, Feb 8.
  • Greatest period of server weather is anticipated Thursday afternoon, Feb 6 through Thursday night.
  • Our neighborhood is at MARGINAL RISK for severe weather; we are in the 2 – 3 inch rain band.

Remember:  Conditions can change with little notice as this storm moves across S VA and N NC.  Monitor local radio stations; Richmond TV stations; or, the National Weather Service broadcasts.

We will post updated information here as needed.


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