Attached is an updated briefing from National Weather Service Wakefield, VA as of 3:00 PM, Tuesday, May 19, 2020, highlighting the expected weather conditions through the end of this week, May 23.
Key highlights include:
- Minor tidal flooding will begin with this evening’s high tide cycle, with water levels continuing to rise into Wednesday and Thursday.
- Moderate to major tidal flooding (inundation of 2-3 feet above ground level) is expected for areas adjacent to the Chesapeake Bay and major tidal rivers beginning Wednesday and continuing through at least Thursday night. Minor to moderate tidal is expected along the Atlantic Ocean facing beaches.
- Wind gusts of 30-40 knots/seas of 8-12 feet are expected across the coastal waters and the lower Chesapeake Bay. Winds will be strongest this afternoon through Wednesday morning.
- High surf and large breaking waves will result in localized beach erosion along the immediate coast.
- While widespread flooding rain is not expected locally this week, heavy rain over the mountains will eventually cause river levels to rise later in the week with some river flooding possible by this weekend.
Please continue to monitor forecasts throughout the week using the links below:
Please review the tidal chart for high tides expected in our area between Tuesday, May 19 and Thursday, May 21. Tides will be 3 to 5 feet above normal.
Also, with Tropical Storm Arthur moving out to sea along the NC-VA coast, we can expect winds out of the NE for this same period which can result in water from the Potomac overtopping some shoreline protection — bulkheads, armor stone, etc.
Click on this link; the chart is a PDF that will open in a new window.
Tide Chart 2020-05-19_0730 (3)
This chart shows locations along the Atlantic, Chesapeake, and the Potomac. At the bottom of the chart is Lewisetta, just up the Potomac from us. Our tides are similar to the Lewisetta tides that will range 2.7 to 4.0 feet above normal high tides.
Below is a summary from National Weather Service Wakefield, VA as of 8AM EDT, Sunday, May 17th, highlighting the latest information on newly formed Tropical Storm Arthur. Please also see attached images for more information.
Key highlights include:
- Tropical Storm Arthur will move north over the next 24 hours, then make a sharp turn to the east just off Cape Hatteras Monday afternoon. Overall impacts from this system on the local area will remain limited.
- Period of greatest impact: Late Monday morning through Monday evening.
- Wind gusts between 30-40 mph will occur from VA Beach south through coastal NE NC.
- Rainfall amounts up to 1″ will be possible across SE VA and NE NC.
- Tidal Flooding/Rip Currents: No tidal flooding is expected through Monday. However, dangerous rip currents are expected at area beaches starting Monday and lasting through much of the coming week.
- Marine: Small Craft Advisory conditions will likely be reached for much of the marine area during Monday, with possible gale force wind gusts off Outer Banks Currituck.
- A prolonged period of unsettled conditions develops Tuesday and lasts through much of the coming week (not is association with Arthur). Periods of heavy rain and also tidal flooding will be the greatest concerns. More details on what to expect for the remainder of the week will be forthcoming later today.
Please continue to monitor forecasts throughout the weekend using the links below:
The forecast storm track as of early Sunday morning, May 17, is shown here:
The Association has a contract with the Thomas Brothers of Heathsville to cut the grass in the roadside ditches, common area/picnic area, entrance and other areas. Several residents also have contracts with the Thomases to cut grass on their lot.
The Thomases have informed us that they will NOT cut grass the week of May 4-8 because of a death in their family.