Tropical Storm Elsa: Status as of 7:00 AM, Thursday, July 8

Wind and rain from Tropical Storm Elsa are expected to arrive late this afternoon (Thursday) and remain through Thursday night into Friday morning.

This link is to the Accuweather forecast for our area.  Information at this link includes:  Current location of the storm; predicted rainfall amounts; predicted wind speeds; arrival time of winds.

The National Weather Service in Wakefield VA has updated their warnings, projecting that wind and rain from Tropical Storm Elsa will arrive in our area around 4:00 PM Thursday and exit around 5:00 AM Friday.

Because of the high winds, we recommend:

  • Secure all outdoor items — lawn/deck furniture; grill; bicycles; etc.  Either tie down, move inside, or otherwise secure these items so they will not be blown around.
  • Be prepared for power outage(s) lasting several hours.
  • Make certain your boat is securely tied down to lift or at marina.
  • Watch/listen to local TV and radio for weather alerts.
  • Be careful of high water on area rods, especially on Newman’s Neck Road between our neighborhood and Hwy 360.

 

 

Tropical Storm Elsa: Revised projections — 11:00 PM, Wednesday, July 7

This is the latest map of the track of Tropical Storm Elsa from the National Hurricane Center.  Wednesday, July 7, 11:00 PM

cone graphic

Note the center of the storm will pass over our area around 8:00 PM, Thursday, July 8; Elsa is rated a Tropical Storm — winds over 39 MPH.

Rain is expected to start in our area around 10:00 AM Thursday, July 8, becoming heavier until departing our area around 5:00 AM, Friday, July 9

Here is the latest information from the National Weather Service, Wakefield, VA — as of 11:30 PM, Wednesday, July 7.
Tropical Storm Elsa Local Statement Advisory Number 32
National Weather Service Wakefield VA  AL052021
1130 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

This product covers CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...AND THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE

**ELSA IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN
VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...AND SOUTHEAST MARYLAND LATE
THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
      Warning for Accomack, Bertie, Camden, Chesapeake, Chowan,
      Dorchester, Eastern Currituck, Gates, Gloucester,
      Hampton/Poquoson, Hertford, Inland Worcester, Lancaster,
      Maryland Beaches, Mathews, Middlesex, Newport News,
      Norfolk/Portsmouth, Northampton, Northumberland, Pasquotank,
      Perquimans, Somerset, Suffolk, Virginia Beach, Western
      Currituck, Westmoreland, Wicomico, and York

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Accomack, Bertie,
      Camden, Chesapeake, Chowan, Dorchester, Eastern Currituck,
      Gates, Gloucester, Hampton/Poquoson, Hertford, Inland
      Worcester, Lancaster, Maryland Beaches, Mathews, Middlesex,
      Newport News, Norfolk/Portsmouth, Northampton, Northumberland,
      Pasquotank, Perquimans, Somerset, Suffolk, Virginia Beach,
      Western Currituck, Westmoreland, Wicomico, and York

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 590 miles southwest of Ocean City MD or about 480 miles
      southwest of Norfolk VA
    - 32.1N 82.3W
    - Storm Intensity 45 mph
    - Movement North-northeast or 25 degrees at 16 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Elsa continues to track across Georgia late this
evening and will then track northeast into the Carolinas later
tonight into Thursday morning. Elsa is then forecast to move across
northern North Carolina and eastern Virginia Thursday evening into
Thursday night, before moving northeast of the Delmarva coast Friday
morning.

Heavy rain bands and embedded thunderstorms are expected to
overspread the region Thursday and continue into Thursday night. 1
to 3 inches of rainfall is forecast across much of central and
eastern Virginia, in addition to the Lower Eastern Shore. Locally
higher amounts up to 5 inches are possible in these locations. Heavy
rainfall will result in a threat of localized flash flooding. A
Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for the above mentioned areas.

Tropical storm force wind gusts are expected to develop along/near
coastal portions of northeast North Carolina, eastern Virginia, and
southeast Maryland Thursday evening into Thursday night. This could
lead to some downed trees and scattered power outages. There is the
potential for minor tidal flooding in areas along the north side of
the Albemarle and Currituck Sound (including Back Bay in Virginia
Beach) from late Thursday into Thursday night. In addition, minor
tidal flooding is possible on the bay side of the Lower Maryland
Eastern Shore and in portions of the Virginia Northern Neck adjacent
to the tidal Potomac.

Additionally, a few tornadoes will be possible Thursday into
Thursday night across northeast North Carolina, southeast/eastern
Virginia, and southeast Maryland, which could lead to locally
enhanced damage.

Dangerous marine conditions are expected to develop by Thursday
evening with strong winds and seas building to 6 to 9 feet.

Tropical Storm Elsa to affect our area from early Thursday morning to early Friday morning.

The National Weather Service in Wakefield VA has issued a storm warning for our area.

Go to this link for the current warning.

This link is the NWS flash flood watch.

NWS tropical storm watch.

We recommend you take the following precautions:

  • Tie down or otherwise secure all outdoor items — deck or lawn furniture; grills; bicycles; anything else that can move — tropical storm force winds can turn even large objects into missiles.
  • If your boat is on a lift, be certain it is secured.  If your boat is in a marina, check to ensure it is secure.
  • Be prepared for a power outage that may last several hours.

The National Hurricane Center has released the following projection maps.

Anticipated arrival time of tropical storm force winds

time of arrival graphic

Rainfall Potential — we are in the 2-4 inch area

[Image of WPC QPF U.S. rainfall potential]

Tropical Storm force winds probability — we are in the 10-20 MPH area

[Image of probabilities of 34-kt winds]