Two special weather advisories

Snow ended late this afternoon, Thursday, Jan 4, as skies cleared.

Travel on Highway 360 is clear, however, please drive carefully, watch for icy spots, leave yourself plenty of stopping distance.

HOWEVER — travel into our neighborhood on Newman’s Neck Road is difficult.  Between Hwy 360 and our neighborhood on Newman’s Neck Road are several vehicles in the ditches.  The road is obstructed with very deep snow drifts.  The wooded area from Critter Corner to our neighborhood entrance is all but blocked by snow drifts.  A snowplow came through around 6:30 PM, Jan 4, however, the plow opened only a single traffic lane.

VDOT should begin a major clearing effort tonight, Jan 4-5.

The National Weather Service as issued two weather advisories for our area.

Wind Chill Advisory

…WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY…
…WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED…

* WHAT…Very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills will drop to
zero to 5 below.

* WHERE…Portions of east central, eastern and southeast
Virginia.

* WHEN…From 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS…Winds gusting as high as 20 to 30 mph will
cause blowing and drifting snow. Cold wind chills overnight
will cause frostbite in as little as 30 minutes to exposed skin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will
combine to create low wind chills. Frost bite and hypothermia can
occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and
gloves.

Special Weather Statement:  Hazardous Travel Conditions

…Hazardous travel conditions expected tonight and Friday…

Very cold air will settle over the area tonight and continue
through Friday. Any melting of the snow that took place Thursday
afternoon will refreeze. Many roads across central and eastern
Virginia, northeast North Carolina and lower southeast Maryland
will be ice or snow covered resulting in hazardous travel. Minimal
melting is expected during the day Friday as temperatures will
remain below freezing. Motorists are urged to use caution while
driving, keeping plenty of distance between you and other
motorists.

Winter storm has arrived!!!!!

The predicted winter storm arrived in our neighborhood just before 10:00 PM, January 3 and as of 7:30 AM, January 4, winds are from the NW at 15 – 20 MPH with gusts as high as 35 MPH.

Snow started just before 10:00 PM, Jan 3, and continues as of 7:30 AM, Jan 4.  Because of the wind, accumulation is difficult to report.  In some places, the road and grassy areas are free of snow, in other places, drifts are one foot deep.

Current temperature (7:30 AM, Jan 4) is 23 degrees with wind chill of 9 – 11 degrees.

Check our neighborhood weather station for details.

Here are photos taken from a window facing the Potomac River; Thursday, Jan 4, 7:30 AM.  Snow is still falling.

 

 

WINTER STORM WARNING — Wednesday through Friday, Jan 3-5, 2018 — UPDATE

A SEVERE winter storm is on the way that will affect us beginning Wednesday night and continuing through Thursday, possibly into Friday.

***************

UPDATE:

As of 11:00 PM, Wednesday, Jan 3, snow started about 45 minutes ago; the ground is now covered.

UPDATE:

As of 2:30 PM, Wednesday, Jan 3, the forecasts for Wednesday night and Thursday are:

Wednesday night.  Snow likely. Low 23F. Winds N at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of snow 100%. 3 to 5 inches of snow expected.  Snow anticipated to start between 9 and 10 PM.

Thursday daytime.  Windy. Snow during the morning will give way to partly cloudy conditions during the afternoon. High 29F. Winds NW at 20 to 30 mph. Chance of snow 80%. Snow accumulations less than one inch. Winds could occasionally gust over 40 mph.

Forecast low temperatures for Thursday, Friday, and Saturday nights are 9, 7, and  6 degrees, with winds 10 – 15 MPH.

UPDATE:

As of 7:00 AM, Wednesday, Jan 3, our weather forecast for Wednesday evening is:

Snow likely. Low 24F. Winds N at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of snow 90%. Snow accumulating 3 to 5 inches.

The forecast for Thursday, Jan 4:  Snow showers early. Peeks of sunshine later. High 29F. Winds NW at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of snow 80%. Snow accumulations less than one inch. Winds could occasionally gust over 40 mph.

Forecast low temperatures for Thursday, Friday, and Saturday nights are 9, 7, and  6 degrees, with winds 10 – 15 MPH.

***************

This storm is being caused by the conjunction of a blast of very cold air coming from the northwest with a large area of warm, moist air moving up the coast.

Predictions for our neighborhood are for 1 to 3 inches of snow starting Wednesday night, ending Thursday noon, accompanied by high winds and very cold temperatures.

From Norfolk to the Maryland and Delaware beaches, including much of the southern half of the Delmarva Peninsula, 3 to 6 inches of heavy snow are predicted from Wednesday evening to Thursday afternoon.

Farther inland in the Mid-Atlantic, near Interstate 95, the storm’s exact track will be highly consequential. Current computer models suggest most, if not all, snowfall will occur east of Washington and Baltimore on Wednesday night into early Thursday. But small shifts to the west could bring some snow to these cities.

Because of the low pressure area off the coast and the high pressure area moving in from the NW, the National Weather Service is warning of possibly very high, damaging winds.  Our wind gusts are likely to exceed 30 MPH.

This article provides a detailed discussion and description of the coming storm.

UPDATE:

The latest forecast for Wednesday night, Jan 3, from The Weather Channel:

Cloudy with snow. Low 24F. Winds N at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of snow 80%. 1 to 3 inches of snow expected.

Forecast for Thursday, Jan 4 — note the high winds:

Windy with snow showers before noon. Partly cloudy later. High 29F. Winds NW at 20 to 30 mph. Chance of snow 50%. Snow accumulations less than one inch. Winds could occasionally gust over 40 mph.

Winter Storm Watch issued for our area.

 

Issuing Office: Wakefield

Source: National.Weather.Service

9:44pm EST, Tue Jan 2

 

… WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON… * WHAT… HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE. PLAN ON DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS, INCLUDING DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE ON THURSDAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. * WHERE… PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MARYLAND AND EASTERN VIRGINIA. * WHEN… FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS… SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY ARE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS… A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW, SLEET OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

Ice on the Potomac River for the new year!!!

Following several days of nighttime temperatures in the ‘teens and daytime temps below freezing, ice has formed along the Potomac River shoreline at our neighborhood as well as several miles up and down the river.

Here are some photos made around noon, Monday, January 1, 2018.

Looking from the picnic area across the breakwaters. The “waves” are not waves . . . that’s water frozen into the shape of waves. The dark area in the distance is open water; ice is the white/grey area.
There’s a beach under this ice somewhere!!! The “waves” are not water . . . that’s ice frozen into the form of waves.
Looking east toward the Chesapeake Bay, along the Potomac shore. As with the other photos, the “waves” breaking on the beach are not waves . . . that’s water frozen into the shape of waves

Yes, it’s C O L D !! Take winter precautions.

Winter has arrived.  Low temperature tonight (Dec 27, 2017) is forecast to be in the ‘teens with daily highs in the 30’s, maybe into the 40’s.  These low temperatures will continue well into the new year.

These low temperatures can cause burst pipes in houses that are not occupied.  Here are some tips for full-time and part-time residents:

  • If the house is to be empty for a while, especially for part-time residents, set your thermostat on at least 55 degrees.  That way, the house will be kept warm enough to prevent pipes from freezing without adding too much to your electrical bill.
  • If you use propane heat, check your propane tank and fill it if necessary.
  • Check your crawl space door — make certain it is secure.  A couple of years ago, a crawl space door was blown open by high winds, causing sub-freezing temperatures to develop in the crawl space which cause pipes under the house to freeze and burst.
  • Make certain your doors and windows are closed securely — high winds can open doors.
  • In your kitchen, especially if you are a part-time resident, leave cabinet doors under the sink open.  In many cases, the pipes that serve your kitchen sink are against an outside wall and can freeze.  By leaving the cabinet doors open, you allow warm air from the house to circulate into the area under the sink, thereby preventing frozen pipes.

We check the gauges in the well house every couple of days to see how much water is being used.  If we see a spike in water usage without a corresponding increase in the number of people in the neighborhood, that can indicate a burst pipe somewhere.  If this happens, we will investigate.  If we find a burst pipe, we will turn off the water to that house (if possible); we will call a plumber; and, we will call the homeowner.

Tundra swans are back!!

December 24, 2017 — Several Northern birds migrate to our area where they remain over the winter.  Regular winter migratory visitors to our neighborhood include Tundra Swans (Cygnus columbianus) and Buffleheads (Bucephala albeola).

A group of eight Tundra Swans was spotted on Presley Creek around noon, Sunday, Dec. 24.  In previous years we have seen as many as 30-plus Tundras.

Here’s a photo of the group seen Dec 24.  Tundra Swans feed on underwater vegetation — notice several of these swans have their heads under water, feeding.

 

PBE POA President’s Christmas Letter

Merry Christmas to all our Members and Happy Holidays

As the 2017 holidays approach, I wanted to express my appreciation to all our members, board directors, project officers, and our extended family of volunteers for the on-going support you provided during a busy and successful 2017.

Our major accomplishment was the long-awaited completion of the PBE POA Beach Stabilization Project. Many hours and ever more dollars have been invested in securing our common area beach, bulkhead, and fishing pier for the long-term benefit for our members and their guests, in the coming years. Years of planning and many hours of detailed discussion and legal documentation have finally come to fruition – Thank You Ray & Volunteers!

Other notable projects; I will call-out three: first the beautiful renovated signage at our community entry and beach areas – Thanks Buddy – Marie and Don – Katherine. Second our secure and technically advanced website; https://pbepoa.com/ . Thank you Joe Schlatter for monthly postings and maintenance and Martha Hulse for your technical acumen and consultation for this secure implementation.

Our third success is behind the scenes with Tink Seymour’s on-going Community Watch and CINC grass cutting over-watch – Thanks Tink.

I will stop here to say thanks to each member who took pride in your plantings and lawns this past year. Thanks for investing your time to make our community a better place to live and to visit.

As we welcome 2018 – I ask that we keep our optimistic outlook for the future and rededicate ourselves to our personal health, our community well-being, and happiness. Let’s continue to keep smiling, give thanks for our many blessings, and continue to offer our neighbors a wave, a thank you, and a helping hand.

God Bless you and yours in 2018. May you enjoy good health.

Dave Williams, President PBE – Property Owners Association