Our neighborhood did not suffer damage from Tropical Storm Isaias other than small tree limbs down, lots of water in lawns and the roadway, and loss of electrical power.

The main part of the storm moved in around 2:00 AM Tuesday bringing with it high wind and heavy rain.  By 10:00 AM, the storm had departed, skies were mostly clear, temperature was in mid-70’s and humidity was low but rising.

Total rainfall in our neighborhood was over 5 inches.

Highest wind gust measured here was 38 MPH.

Electrical power was lost around 9:45 when a tree fell over Newman’s Neck Road, about a quarter mile outside our subdivision.  The tree took down the two power lines that serve our neighborhood.  As of 2:00 PM, we are still without power.

You can check the status of power outages in our area here on the Northern Neck Electric Co-op Outage Viewer.

The National Weather Service in Wakefield VA has issued a tornado alert and a TORNADO WARNING for our area in effect until 6:45 AM. As of 5:00 AM Tuesday, August 4, a tornado was confirmed in the area between Heathsville and Callao moving NW at 55 MPH. Other tornadoes were confirmed in the area of Wicomico Church. As of 6:00 AM, no reports of damage have been received and it does not appear that our neighborhood was affected.

CURRENT TORNADO WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT UNTIL 6:45 AM.

As of 6:30 AM, Tuesday, August 4:

• Our neighborhood has received 3.75 inches of rain in past 24 hours
• Rain continues to fall at rate of 2 inches per hour
• Winds are steady at 12 MPH from the SE with gusts to 30 MPH
• Storm is located approximately 80 miles SW of us, moving NNE at 28 MPH
• Storm center will track over or near our neighborhood between 8:00 and 9:00 AM
• Our neighborhood has not experienced power outages as of 6:30 AM.
• Our neighborhood is under flash flood warnings that will last until Tuesday night — Wednesday morning, Aug 4-5.

Latest information on Hurricane Tropical Storm Isaias is available from the National Hurricane Center, .

The National Weather Service office in Wakefield, VA posts updated storm information as well as tornado warnings.

The combination of high winds and heavy rains likely will result in downed trees; downed power lines; and, local flooding.

UPDATE:  As of 6:27 AM, tornadoes have been confirmed on the ground near:

• White Stone — about 25 miles S of us, below Kilmarnock
• Near Montross in Westmoreland County
• Near Lancaster Church in Lancaster County

Tropical Storm Isaias is approaching our neighborhood.  Tropical storm force winds — 39 – 73 MPH — are expected to arrive around 2:00 AM Tuesday, August 3, with heavy rains arriving shortly thereafter.

The following maps are produced by the National Hurricane Center and the Wakefiled, VA, National Weather Service office.

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Winds in excess of 40 mph can be expected across the entire warning area. Strongest winds will be closest to the coast with gusts up to 70 mph possible.

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Tropical Storm force winds will arrive between 2:00 and 6:00 AM, Tuesday, August 4.

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Rainfall amount of 3-6 inches with locally higher amounts as high as 7 inches is possible in the watch area, potentially leading to flash flooding.

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You can check rainfall amounts, wind speed and direction, and temperature for our neighborhood by checking out our neighborhood weather station.  Or, go to WeatherUnderground (wunderground.com) and search for weather station KVAHEATH04.

 

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Tropical Storm Isaias is projected to drop 4 to 10 inches of rain on our area, accompanied by winds approaching tropical storm strength — 39 MPH or higher.  The storm will affect our area Monday night through Tuesday night, August 3 – 4.

The combination of heavy rain and high winds likely will cause local flooding, trees down, and power outages.

Here are the latest projection maps from the National Hurricane Center.

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Rainfall Potential

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Time of arrival of tropical storm winds

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Flash flood potential in our area is high

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Tuesday likely will be the height of the storm, all day.

To prepare for this storm, please check your property:

• Remove or tie down outdoor furniture including grills — outdoor furniture, grills, bicycles can be blown around in tropical storm or hurricane force winds, smashing windows and doors and causing other damage.
• Tie down boats, or, remove the boat from the water and place it in a sheltered location.
• Ensure all doors and windows are closed and locked, especially those facing the water.
• Be prepared for electrical outages, possibly lasting a few days.  Our community water system is powered by a backup generator, which means all homes on the community water system will have water even if electrical power is lost.  Homes on individual wells will not have water unless you have a generator to power your well pump.

The National Hurricane Center projection for the track of Tropical Storm Isaias has shifted more to the west, indicating the storm will track almost directly over our neighborhood beginning late Monday, August 3 and continuing through Tuesday, August 4 or early Wednesday, August 5.

Latest information is on the National Hurricane Center Website.

A detailed storm briefing is available on the Wakefield, VA, National Weather Service website.

Here are the latest track maps.

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This map indicates the storm will be on top of our neighborhood by 2:00 PM, Tuesday, August 4.

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This maps indicate winds will begin to arrive Monday night, August 3.

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This map puts us in the 4 – 6 inch rainfall potential area.  However, as the storm approaches, expect this projection to increase.

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To prepare for this storm, please check your property:

• Remove or tie down outdoor furniture including grills — outdoor furniture, grills, bicycles can be blown around in tropical storm or hurricane force winds, smashing windows and doors and causing other damage.
• Tie down boats, or, remove the boat from the water and place it in a sheltered location.
• Ensure all doors and windows are closed and locked, especially those facing the water.
• Be prepared for electrical outages, possibly lasting a few days.  Our community water system is powered by a backup generator, which means all homes on the community water system will have water even if electrical power is lost.  Homes on individual wells will not have water unless you have a generator to power your well pump.

The projected track for Hurricane Isaias has moved slightly to the west, which indicates we will experience high wind and rain from the storm throughout Monday and Tuesday, August 3 and 4.

The following three maps show the latest (1) wind arrival times, (2) rainfall projections, and (3) storm track as projected by the National Hurricane Center.

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Follow the course of Isaias on the National Hurricane Center website.

To prepare for this storm, please check your property:

• Remove or tie down outdoor furniture including grills — outdoor furniture, grills, bicycles can be blown around in tropical storm or hurricane force winds, smashing windows and doors and causing other damage.
• Tie down boats, or, remove the boat from the water and place it in a sheltered location.
• Ensure all doors and windows are closed and locked, especially those facing the water.
• Be prepared for electrical outages, possibly lasting a few days.  Our community water system is powered by a backup generator, which means all homes on the community water system will have water even if electrical power is lost.  Homes on individual wells will not have water unless you have a generator to power your well pump.

 

Hurricane Isaias continues to track toward the US East Coast and is projected to turn to the NNE, tracking along the coastline from Florida into New England.  See the latest hurricane information on the National Hurricane Center website.

The storm is expected to affect our neighborhood beginning Monday morning, August 3, and leave our area late Tuesday, August 4.

These following three maps show:

• Anticipated time of arrival for storm winds
• Current rainfall projections.  As the storm progresses this likely will change with use receiving more rain than currently indicated.
• Projected storm track.  An “H” in a black circle indicates hurricane (winds over 73 MPH); an “S” in a black circle indicates tropical storm winds (39 – 73 MPH).

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Rainfall amount projections.  Look for the rainfall projected for our neighborhood to increase as the storm approaches.

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Probably path of storm center.  The area shaded in white dots is the area likely to be affected by the storm, including wind and rain.

Here is the latest briefing from the National Weather Service, Wakefield VA.

Finally, here is information on where to find NOAA weather radio on your weather radio receiver or scanner.

CALLSIGN	SITE NAME	FREQUENCY	STATUS	WFO
KHB36	Manassas	162.550	NORMAL	Baltimore/Washington VA
KHB37	Norfolk	162.550	NORMAL	Wakefield VA
KJY86	South Boston	162.525	NORMAL	Blacksburg VA
KJY99	Accomack	162.525	NORMAL	Wakefield VA
KZZ28	Covesville	162.450	NORMAL	Baltimore/Washington VA
WXK65	Richmond	162.475	NORMAL	Wakefield VA
WXL60	Roanoke	162.475	NORMAL	Blacksburg VA
WXL92	Lynchburg	162.550	NORMAL	Blacksburg VA
WXM57	Heathsville	162.400	NORMAL	Wakefield VA
WZ2500	Sand Mtn	162.450	NORMAL	Blacksburg VA
WZ2527	Fredericksburg	162.425	NORMAL	Baltimore/Washington VA
WZ2543	Richlands	162.425	NORMAL	Blacksburg VA

As of early Friday, July 31, Hurricane Isaias is passing over Eastern Cuba and is predicted to move up the US East Coast.

Current projections show tropical storm force winds possibly affecting our neighborhood Monday and Tuesday, August 3-4.

Tropical storm winds are 39 – 73 MPH.  Because wind circulation around hurricanes and tropical storms is counter-clockwise, when hurricanes or tropical storms move up the East Coast, winds affecting our neighborhood blow directly across the Chesapeake Bay, from the Northeast.

We will post more weather advisories as projections become more specific.  Meanwhile, the maps below show projections for Isaias as of 8:00 AM, Friday, July 31.   Note that current projections show Isaias affecting our neighborhood Monday and Tuesday, August 3 and 4.

The map above indicates tropical-storm-force winds will arrive in our area during the day Monday, August 3, departing Tuesday, August 4.

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The map above indicates Isaias will be a hurricane when it passes off-shore, affecting our neighborhood Tuesday, August 4.

Follow the course of Isaias on the National Hurricane Center website.

To prepare for this storm, please check your property:

• Remove or tie down outdoor furniture including grills — outdoor furniture, grills, bicycles can be blown around in tropical storm or hurricane force winds, smashing windows and doors and causing other damage.
• Tie down boats, or, remove the boat from the water and place it in a sheltered location.
• Ensure all doors and windows are closed and locked, especially those facing the water.
• Be prepared for electrical outages, possibly lasting a few days.  Our community water system is powered by a backup generator, which means all homes on the community water system will have water even if electrical power is lost.  Homes on individual wells will not have water unless you have a generator to power your well pump.

 

Free COVID-19 testing

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Thursday, July 9

10:00 AM – 4:00 PM

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Potomac Bay Estates Property Owners’ Association President Dave Williams sends this letter to all property owners to provide updated information about Association business and current projects.

Please follow this link for a copy of Dave’s letter:   LETTER TO PBE POA_0530_Wms (3)

The documents listed below are reports and documents that accompany Dave’s letter.

• Treasurer’s annual report (Excel spreadsheet document):   PandL statement at 3_31_20 YEAR END FINAL
• Budget for FY 20-21 (April 1, 2020 – March 31, 2020; approved by Board; column 5 on Treasurer’s annual report, above)
• Water system report: PBEWaterSys2019-20 Summary (1)
• New construction report:   PBE New Building Advisory Comm Rept 2020 (1)
• May 1 Board meeting minutes with details of bulkhead stabilization project: PBE Board meeting May 1 2020
• Bulkhead project progress report, 5/24/2020: PBE Shoreline Stab Progress Rpt 5-24-20 (1)
• Roster update form (Please complete this from with your current contact information and return to POA Secretary as indicated in the letter and on the form: Roster verification form