Potomac Bay Estates

As of 11:oo PM, Thursday, September 13, Hurricane Florence is making landfall on the NC coast.  This is the latest track forecast from the National Hurricane Center.  Notice the remnants of Florence will turn NE and slightly affect our area Monday and Tuesday, Sep 17-18.

We are forecast to receive 1 to 2 inches of rain over the next few days.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Here is the weather forecast for our neighborhood for the next few days:

Date; Forecast; Temp hi/lo; Likelihood of precipitation; Wind speed and direction from which wind comes; Humidity

Thu SEP 13	Thunderstorms	81°75°	90%	ENE 14 mph	89%
Fri SEP 14	Thunderstorms	78°73°	90%	E 14 mph	90%
Sat SEP 15	Thunderstorms	79°71°	100%	ENE 13 mph	87%
Sun SEP 16	Showers	80°72°	50%	E 12 mph	87%
Mon SEP 17	Scattered Thunderstorms	82°73°	50%	ESE 10 mph	84%
Tue SEP 18	Scattered Thunderstorms	82°70°	60%	S 10 mph	84%
Wed SEP 19	Sunny	83°68°	10%	NW 7 mph	76%

According to the National Hurricane Center, we are in the area projected to receive 2-4 inches of rain over the next several days.

One of the four main water distribution lines serving our neighborhood broke over the weekend.  The line involved serves all of Presley Drive and the lots west from the intersection of Potomac Drive and Presley Drive — lots 25 through 30, 31, 32, and 33.  Water is turned off to all residences on Presley Drive as well as to the affected lots on Potomac Drive.

If you are not certain of these lots, here is a map of that part of the neighborhood.

Frank Goyette and Joe Schlatter worked Thursday afternoon and located the break.  We had a lot of difficulty locating a plumber; we now have a plumber who will be here first thing Thursday morning, Sep 13.  Water service should be restored to the affected area by noon Thursday.

For everyone’s information:

Four distribution lines come from the pump house located on Presley Drive.  Each line has a shutoff valve.  With this arrangement, if one distribution line breaks, only that line must be shut off, leaving only a part of the neighborhood without water until a repair can be made.

We have two wells, each with its own pump.  The pumps feed a 1,000-gallon tank.  An air compressor maintains pressure on the water in the tank.  When anyone uses water, pressure switches turn on the air compressor and one of the pumps.   The controls alternate between pumps so we do not depend on a single well.  Each well delivers well over 35 gallons per minute, more than enough for our heaviest use.

There is a propane-powered generator that operates the water system in case of power outage.  Thus, when we do have an interruption in electrical power, each residence will have normal water pressure.

The memorial service for our friend and neighbor Walter “Tink” Seymour will be held:

• Living Water Lutheran Church, 83 Bluff Point Rd, Kilmarnock
• Saturday, September 22
• 2:00 PM
• As you travel toward Kilmarnock from Burgess or Wicomico Church, Bluff Point Road is the first road to the LEFT as you enter Kilmarnock — the church is on the left — turn left onto Bluff Point Rd then turn left into the parking lot.

Tink passed away Saturday, Sep 8, at his home, 139 Potomac Drive.  We all remember Tink fondly as a good neighbor and a friend.  He often was the first to introduce himself to new neighbors and was a friend to all.

According to the National Hurricane Center, Hurricane Florence will turn slightly south and, after making landfall on the NC-SC coast Thursday morning, it will turn west — which is good news for us.

Here is the latest NHC tracking map.  Note that as the storm tracks to the west, the area of influence moves away from us.

This map shows we are now in the area of 2 to 4 inches of rain.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The latest Hurricane Florence track posted by the National Hurricane Center is good news for our neighborhood, while it continues to be terrible news for coastal residents of NC and SC.

According to this track, Florence will turn due west after making landfall and its effects on us will be minimal, although we likely will have heavy rain and high winds.

Hurricane Florence update as of 9:00 PM, Tuesday, Sep 11.

Latest projections are fairly good news for us as it appears Florence may turn westward upon making landfall, which will move the worst of the storm well away from us.  Still, we expect a lot of rain and fairly high winds beginning Thursday.

All maps shown below are from the National Hurricane Center.

Here is the latest track for Hurricane Florence from the National Hurricane Center.  This track shows the storm will veer slightly south and head almost due west after making landfall — which is good news for us.

This map of rainfall potential shows our neighborhood in the 4-6 inch rainfall band.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

This map indicates we have only a 30% chance of experiencing tropical storm force winds (39 – 73 MPH).

Finally, this is the current weather forecast for Heathsville VA for the period Wednesday, Sep 12, through Monday, Sep 17.

The columns are:  Date; General forecast for the day;  Hi/Lo temp; Chance of precipitation; Sustained wind speed and direction from which the wind is coming; Average humidity

Wed SEP 12	AM Thunderstorms	84° 73°	40%	E 6 mph	82%
Thu SEP 13	Thunderstorms	81° 74°	90%	ENE 12 mph	89%
Fri SEP 14	Thunderstorms	79° 73°	100%	ENE 17 mph	89%
Sat SEP 15	Showers	78° 72°	60%	ENE 19 mph	91%
Sun SEP 16	Showers	79° 73°	70%	E 13 mph	90%
Mon SEP 17	AM Showers	82° 72°	60%	SE 11 mph	84%