Our neighborhood is located in Northumberland County, one of most historic counties in Virginia and home to some of the earliest European settlements in the New World.
Northumberland County has upgraded their website and the result is a very attractive, easy-to-use website. Here’s the link to the website.
Some of the features of the new site are:
- Tax maps. We are on maps 12A-1, -2, and -3.
- Land records. You can search the land records by name of owner, or, tax map number.
- Pay property taxes.
- Board of Supervisors information — names and contact information of supervisors; meeting schedules; meeting agendas and minutes.
- And . . . lots of other useful and important information for county residents.
Here’s the latest National Hurricane Center track for tropical storm Nate, soon to be hurricane Nate — as of 4:00 AM, Saturday, Oct 7.
According to this track Nate will have diminished to a tropical depression as it moves over our area during the day Monday. The current weather forecasts for the neighborhood are shown below.
Sunday, Oct 8: Hi temp 82 deg; 50% probability of scattered thunderstorms; winds SSW 9 MPH.
Monday, Oct 9: Hi temp 81 deg; 30% probability of PM rain; winds 12 MPH S.
Tuesday, Oct 10: Hi temp 85 deg; 50 % probability of PM showers; winds 5 MPH WSW.
Wednesday, Oct 11: Hi temp 78 deg; 60% probability of PM showers; winds 7 MPH ENE.
This graphic from the NHC indicates rainfall will be west of us. However, it would be prudent to be prepared for showers on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.
Our neighborhood may experience rain during the period October 9 – 11 as the remnants of Hurricane Nate travel northeast from the Gulf Coast.
As of Thursday, October 5, Tropical Storm Nate is expected to increase to hurricane strength and strike the Gulf Coast early Sunday, October 8. After making landfall, Nate will drop to tropical storm strength, travel across Alabama and Tennessee and move into our area early in the week of October 9 – 13, as a tropical depression, mostly as rain with possibly high winds.
Here is the National Hurricane Center predicted track for Nate, as of 8:00 AM EDT, Thursday, October 5.
Currently our weather forecast for October 9 – 11 calls for:
- Monday, Oct 9: 50% chance of showers; hi temp 81 deg; winds S, 9 MPH
- Tuesday, Oct 10: 20% chance of showers; hi temp 84 deg; winds SSW 11 MPH
- Wednesday, Oct 11: 60% chance of showers; hi temp 76 deg; winds NNW 7 MPH
Watch this website for further weather information as well as other information about the neighborhood.
There has been no significant change in weather forecast for our neighborhood as Hurricane Jose moves north offshore, roughly parallel to the East Coast.
Our current forecast calls for:
MONDAY, Sep 18: Cloudy; high temp 76 deg; 20% chance of precipitation; 10 MPH winds.
TUESDAY, Sep 19: Cloudy; high temp 78 deg; 20% chance of precipitation; 16 MPH winds.
WEDNESDAY, Sep 20: Cloudy; high temp 85 deg; 10% chance of precipitation; 9 MPH winds.
Check the National Hurricane Center for Jose’s progress and forecasts.
As of 5:00 PM EDT, Friday, September 15, National Hurricane Center projections suggest our neighborhood may receive winds in the 10 – 20 MPH range from Hurricane Jose as the storm moves through the Atlantic paralleling the East Coast. While the storm is not forecast to make landfall, we are in the warning cone for winds, possibly accompanied by rain.
Here is Jose’s forecast track as of 5:00 PM EDT, Friday, Sep 15.
Here is a forecast of wind speeds. Note we are in the 10 – 20 MPH wind speed band.
This chart is an experimental depiction of wind arrival times, indicating we may experience winds throughout the day Monday, Sep. 18, from early morning until late Monday night-Tuesday morning..
The current five-day weather forecast for our neighborhood calls for a 20% chance of rain Monday and Tuesday with winds of 10 and 14 MPH respectively; high temperature in the high 70’s both days.
These current forecasts do not indicate we will experience any severe weather, except for higher than normal winds.
Watch this website for further weather updates.
Weather forecasts for the week of September 10 – 16 show we will not be affected seriously by Hurricane Irma.
We are forecast to experience 1-5 inches of rain with possible minor flooding in low-lying areas, beginning Monday night, Sep 11, ending late-Tuesday-early-Wednesday, Sep 12-13. We may also experience winds of 10-15 MPH with gusts approaching 30 MPH.
These conditions are similar to those we experience during one of our typical nor’easters.
Although we are not in the path of hurricanes Irma or Jose, hurricane season does not end until November 30 — we need to keep our eyes on the weather. We will post weather alerts here on the website as well as sending emails to all PBE property owners as conditions require.
This forecast map from the National Hurricane Center indicates Irma will make landfall in south Florida — probably at/near Miami — then will move north-northwest, hitting:
- Savannah, Georgia, Monday afternoon as a hurricane (winds 74-110 MPH)
- Knoxville, Tennessee, Tuesday afternoon as a tropical storm (winds 39 – 73 MPH)
If this track holds, our neighborhood will feel only moderate effects from Irma, if anything at all. However, the prudent action to take is to be prepared for high winds and heavy rain:
- Secure all outdoor items — furniture, boat accessories, lawn ornaments.
- Be certain your boat is lashed down VERY securely, if you cannot bring it ashore.
- Make certain all doors and windows are closed and locked.
This compilation of possible tracks from the Cyclocane website reinforces the National Hurricane Center track projections with most of the projected tracks moving inland.
The latest track for Hurricane Jose indicates the storm will veer out to sea and should not affect us.
While the tracks for Irma and Jose are good news for our neighborhood, watch this site for updated information on these and other storms. Remember: Hurricane season does not end until November 30.