Hurricane Irma update: Monday, Sep 4, 5:00 PM EDST

This image is from the National Hurricane Center and shows their best estimate of Hurricane Irma’s track.  This six-day forecast can change dramatically depending on the actions of high- and low-pressure areas in the North Atlantic, over the continental US or over South and Central America.

204223_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind

Watch this website for updates on Hurricane Irma.  Some predictions still show Irma turning sharply north toward the East Coast and possibly threatening Virginia.

 

Watching Hurricane Irma

We need to keep our eye on the weather toward the end of this week, beginning around Friday-Saturday, September 8-9.

Hurricane Irma currently is in the Atlantic Ocean and has strengthened to Category 3 — 110 MPH winds. While it is still a bit early for definitive tracking, the predicted tracks have Irma making landfall on the US early next week — Sep 10 – 14 — anywhere from Florida to Virginia. One track shows the storm entering the Chesapeake Bay. Other predictions show it veering out to sea and not making landfall.

This article describes the variables affecting Irma as well as showing the many different possible tracks.

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/hurricane-irma-us-forecast-challenge-1sep17

The article concludes: “All we can say right now is that the U.S. East Coast and Gulf Coast all need to monitor the progress of Irma.”

 

You can follow Irma at the National Hurricane Center website:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/145723.shtml?cone#contents

Their tracking shows Irma hitting the Bahamas Friday at “major hurricane” level — at least Cat 3.

We likely will not know if the storm poses a threat to our neighborhood until late this week.  Watch this website for information.  Monitor local TV and radio stations for weather updates.

If you visit the neighborhood during the Labor Day weekend, or the week of Sep 4 – 9, please check your property

  • store all outdoor furniture, toys, boat accessories, fishing tackle, etc. inside

  • be certain all doors and windows are closed securely and locked

  • lash down your boat VERY SECURELY, or, if possible, remove the boat from the neighborhood

  • contact one of us year-round residents and give us your contact information in case we need to contact you about your property

  • watch the weather predictions for the neighborhood

 

 

Total solar eclipse, August 21 — Don’t miss it!!

On August 21, much of the US will experience a total or near-total solar eclipse for the first time in 99 years.

This article on the Spacewatch website provides complete details about the how and why of a solar eclipse; map showing the areas of totality; and, precautions for viewing the eclipse.

Our area is not in the path of the total eclipse.  Instead, at the height of the eclipse here, one edge of the sun will still be visible.  Visit this page for an animation of the eclipse as seen from Richmond, VA.

For our neighborhood:

  • The eclipse will start in our neighborhood at 1:18 PM, Monday, August 21.
  • Near totality will occur at 2:44 PM
  • The eclipse will end here at 4:03 PM.

CAUTION: PLEASE READ AND HEED THE WARNINGS ABOUT VIEWING THE SOLAR ECLIPSE — the Spacewatch article has instructions for viewing the eclipse.  Looking directly at the sun, even during an eclipse, can cause serious damage to your eyes, even blindness.  DO NOT EVEN THINK ABOUT VIEWING THE ECLIPSE THROUGH BINOCULARS, A CAMERA OR A TELESCOPE.

UPDATE:  THIS IS IMPORTANT.  JULY 29

One way to safely view the eclipse directly is to use “eclipse glasses.”  These are protective glasses, mostly made of heavy-duty cardboard, with lenses specially made to greatly reduce the light coming from the sun.  However, it turns out now that fake eclipse glasses are being sold.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (WKRN) – Now that a total solar eclipse is just one month away, NASA has issued a warning to let people know unsafe eclipse glasses are being distributed by “unscrupulous companies.”

The space agency recommends only using eclipse glasses with ISO 12312-2 printed on them that have been printed by the four following companies:

— American Paper Optics,

— Rainbow Symphony,

— Thousand Oaks Optical, and

— TSE 17.

NASA says buying your eclipse glasses on Amazon does not ensure their safety.

“Make sure to check your eclipse glasses and viewers to verify that they have the correct ISO designation and were manufactured by one of the four companies recognized by NASA as legitimate,” the agency noted.

 

 

HOT!!!

For the past few weeks, there’s been no doubt that summer is here!!  High temperatures in and around the PBE neighborhood have been in the mid- to upper-90’s with humidity to match.  We’ve had very little rain, except for an occasional thunderstorm around sunset.

As of today — July 24 — temperatures are forecast to moderate slightly with daily highs for the coming week forecast to be in the mid-80’s with humidity ranging from 65% to over 70%; still no rain in the forecast except for the occasional late-evening thunderstorm.

For those who enjoy statistics, for the period July 1 through July 23, 2017:

  • Nine days had high temperatures above 90 degrees
  • Ten days had high temperatures above 85 degrees
  • 18 of 24 days in the period had high humidity above 90%!!!

One of our neighbors has a personal weather station that you can view at this page on our website.

June 22: Neighborhood road resurfacing in progress

Around 8:00 AM this morning — June 22 — a convoy of vehicles and equipment from VDOT and a VDOT contractor showed up on Potomac Drive.  They are resurfacing Potomac Drive and Presley Drive; we don’t know if they will go up Newman’s Neck Road.

The resurfacing is not asphalt paving.  It’s a layer of sand, then a layer of tar, then a layer of gravel.  After the sand-tar-gravel layer is applied, a heavy roller rolls the material flat, then, the process is repeated.

Work should be completed by the end of the day.  We don’t recall when the last resurfacing was done, though it was several years ago.

2016 Water Quality Report

The Potomac Bay Estates water system annual water quality report for 2016 has been distributed and is available online as a PDF document:     2016 Water Quality Report

This is the 2016 water quality report because it consists of measurements taken in 2016.  We take water samples monthly and send them to a state laboratory for testing.  If any problems are found, we take corrective measures immediately.